A New Supercarrier Emerges

Tracking China’s Fourth Aircraft Carrier

By: Matthew P. Funaiole, Brian Hart, Aidan Powers-Riggs, and Joseph S. Bermudez Jr.
Published: May 21, 2026

At the Dalian Shipyard in northern China, construction is underway on China’s fourth aircraft carrier. Speculation about the vessel, known as the Type 004, is widespread, but many details pertaining to its size, propulsion, and capabilities remain unclear.

This page leverages commercial satellite imagery and other open-source information to separate fact from fiction about the carrier’s development. The content will be updated as new information becomes available.

A globe showing the location of Dalian shipyard.

The pace of the fourth carrier’s construction is impressive. In less than a year, prefabricated hull components that first appeared in a Dalian dry dock in early 2025 have been assembled into a clearly recognizable hull—highlighting the speed and scale of China’s maritime industrial base.

Even at this rapid pace, it will be several years before the carrier completes construction. After it is launched from the dry dock, the vessel will still require extensive fitting out and sea trials before entering service. When the carrier is finally commissioned into the People’s Liberation Army Navy (PLAN), it will mark an important milestone in China’s military modernization.

What We Know:
Fact vs. Fiction

Rumors have long surrounded China’s aircraft carriers during construction. The list below examines the most prominent claims about the fourth carrier and evaluates them against the available evidence.

Explore satellite imagery and in-depth analysis in the tabs below:

CSIS Aircraft Carrier Assessment

Implications

China’s fourth aircraft carrier is the latest step in the PLAN’s rapid modernization drive and underscores Beijing’s continued push toward a larger, more capable blue-water fleet. The 2025 U.S. Department of Defense report on China’s military power assessed for the first time that China aims to field six additional aircraft carriers by 2035, bringing its total to nine.

Fielding six new carriers by 2035 would require China to shift toward producing at least two carriers simultaneously in the coming years, especially if new capabilities are added. In addition to Dalian Shipyard, where the fourth carrier is being built, China’s Jiangnan Shipyard is the most likely second site for constructing additional carriers. The sprawling shipyard was responsible for constructing the Fujian, demonstrating its ability to construct aircraft carriers.

While aircraft carriers are the centerpiece of a blue-water navy, they do not operate in isolation. They are escorted by other vessels, typically including some combination of cruisers, destroyers, frigates, large replenishment ships, and sometimes nuclear-powered attack submarines. If the PLAN intends to field a much larger fleet of carriers, it will also need to continue producing these other vessels to support them.

If China does build out such an extensive carrier fleet, it would represent a sea change in the global balance of military power. Doing so would allow it to not only close the quantitative gap with the U.S. Navy’s eleven-carrier fleet, but also the qualitative gap if many of its new carriers feature advanced capabilities like nuclear propulsion. More broadly, a larger fleet of aircraft carriers would offer China transformative capabilities to project naval and air power farther into the Indo-Pacific and beyond. 

This report was made possible by general support to CSIS. No direct sponsorship contributed to this report.

This report was produced by the Andreas C. Dracopoulos iDeas Lab.

Written by Matthew P. Funaiole, Brian Hart, Aidan Powers-Riggs, and Joseph S. Bermudez Jr.

Satellite Imagery Analysis support by: Jennifer Jun

Production by: Michael Kohler

Development by: José Romero

Design support by: William Taylor

Copyediting support by: Madison Bruno

Satellite Imagery: Copyright © 2026 by Vantor
Photo & Video: Video of Dalian: Yangzai via Getty Images | Dalian shipyard: Qilai Shen/Bloomberg via Getty Images

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